Air Quality

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

28 May 2022
Introduction
This set of automatically curated slides provides an instant overview about possible futures to help inform present day strategy, and for you to act on opportunities and risks and mitigate threats in a timely manner. Learn more.

You can also

If you'd like to create your own set of slides like these, just search for your topic of interest and then click "Publish".
Contents
User Guide
Click on the blue source names to view the original evidence.
Click on the donut charts or use the selection options below to change views.
Click on words in the clouds to view more details about it.
Press "F" for full-screen
Press "Esc" for overview
Sources
RSS Feeds
Twitter Searches
Web Searches
Twitter Feeds
World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Approximately 470 million people globally are at high risk of contracting COVID-19 as a result of pre-existing conditions of malnutrition, lack of access to safe drinking water, and indoor air pollution through the use of noxious cooking fuel. wider.unu.edu
Poor air quality is one of the leading risk factors for death around the world. Yale Climate Connections
Pollution remains the world's largest environmental risk factor for disease and premature death, particularly in low- and middle-income countries where air pollution accounts for about 75% of the nine million deaths. Health Policy Watch
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Environmental hazards that may affect workers safety and health include air pollution; heat risks and heat stress; rising sea levels; desertification and the loss of productive land; extreme weather events; and vector-borne / zoonotic diseases (which may result in future global health emergencies). International Labor Office
  • EPA funding will expand an innovative local program that helps improve air quality and empower community members to better advocate for and protect their health. US EPA
  • The US Environmental Protection Agency is providing Robert's Hawai' i School Bus, Inc. with rebates totaling $200,000 to fund 10 cleaner buses, which will improve air quality at schools and in communities, reduce greenhouse gas pollution, and better protect children's health overall. Maui Now
Weaknesses
  • Globally, poor air quality is estimated to cause some 7 million deaths each year, as it increases the risk of a wide range of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. World Bank Blogs
  • About 99% of people in the world breathe air that exceeds air quality limits and threatens their health, and more than 13 million deaths around the world each year are due to avoidable environmental causes, including air pollution. United Nations
  • Poor indoor air quality is the biggest environmental risk to health - responsible for more than 6.5 million premature deaths globally per year - in findings by the World Health Organization. Live Science
Opportunities
  • Across the UK around 230 councils have declared a 'climate emergency,' recognising the risks of climate change for residents and committing to rapid local action to tackle decarbonisation and improve air quality. REA
  • Addis Ababa will establish city-wide baseline air quality levels and aims to reduce major sources of air pollution by 2025 by implementing emissions standards for vehicles e.g. passenger vehicles, buses and trucks. C40 Cities
  • The new signatories of the C40 Clean Air Cities Declaration will take careful steps to improve air quality, from establishing baseline air pollution levels to setting new air quality targets, and implementing policies and programmes that address the leading causes of air pollution emissions. C40 Cities
Threats
  • Forbes compared more than 800 locales in America on everything from housing costs and taxes to healthcare, air quality, crime and climate change and natural hazard risk. Forbes
  • Good ventilation and air exchange are a great way to reduce transmission risk. The New York Times
  • Products that have achieved GREENGUARD Gold Certification are scientifically proven to meet some of the world's most rigorous third-party chemical emissions standards, helping to reduce indoor air pollution and the risk of chemical exposure. Facility Executive Magazine
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
PC, computer, connected, death, engineer, filter
Emerging
EV, artificial intelligence, building, pandemic, car, aid
Maturing
death, building, health, clean, environment, emission
Declining
airline, coal, death, car, cargo, biodiversity
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Approximately 470 million people globally are at high risk of contracting COVID-19 as a result of pre-existing conditions of malnutrition, lack of access to safe drinking water, and indoor air pollution through the use of noxious cooking fuel. wider.unu.edu
Globally, poor air quality is estimated to cause some 7 million deaths each year, as it increases the risk of a wide range of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. World Bank Blogs
PEST
Political
  • When EPA issues its supplemental draft rule on methane later in 2022, it's expected to propose a new role for air quality monitoring by nonprofits and fence-line communities sited near oil and gas development. E&E News
  • At the national level, leadership by cities in taking measures to reduce emissions and improve air quality within their jurisdictions will continue to be important to pushing action on global policy and the implementation of multi-sectoral action on mitigation. International Institute for Sustainable Development
  • The Biden - Harris Administration's Bipartisan Infrastructure Law will improve insulation and air sealing, heating, ventilation, air conditioning systems, lighting, and appliances in American homes while lowering energy costs for American families. Energy.gov
Economic
  • Harmful emissions will cost the NHS and social care £10.4bn over the next 30 years if no further action is taken to improve air quality. AirQualityNews
  • Global international air passenger numbers will not return to pre-Covid levels until 2025. Savills World Research European Commercia
  • Natural gas stoves - which more than a third of American homes use - may emit concerning levels of indoor air pollution, and could play a larger role in driving climate change than previously believed. Time
Social
  • All Londoners currently live in areas that breach the World Health Organization target for particulate matter and nitrogen dioxide, while around 500,000 suffer from asthma and similar number will develop diseases linked to toxic air over the next 30 years. AirQualityNews
  • In a megacity such as Delhi, with high numbers of vehicles and emissions, air quality will deteriorate along with the health of its inhabitants. The Guardian
  • While pollution's impact on the environment is well-known, fewer people might be aware that outdoor and indoor air pollution exposure causes an estimated 7 million premature deaths worldwide each year, and is associated with lung and heart disease, among other serious health issues. Yahoo News
Technological
  • Products that have achieved GREENGUARD Gold Certification are scientifically proven to meet some of the world's most rigorous third-party chemical emissions standards, helping to reduce indoor air pollution and the risk of chemical exposure. Facility Executive Magazine
  • Canada expects AOM to play an important role in an international constellation for weather, air quality and greenhouse gases. SpaceNews
  • The world-leading action Sadiq has already taken on air pollution will reduce the number of air quality-related hospital admissions by 1 million by 2050, helping save the NHS and social care system £5 billion. Auto Connected Car News
Financial Impact
Power perks - Establishing a standard to reach 80% carbon-free power by 2030 in the US would improve air quality enough to avert an estimated 317,500 premature deaths and generate health benefits totalling $1.13 trillion between now and 2050. carbon-pulse
Establishing a standard to reach 80% carbon-free power by 2030 would improve air quality enough to avert an estimated 317,500 premature deaths and generate health benefits totaling $1.13 trillion between now and 2050. EE News
Before the Covid-19 crisis, global air cargo volumes were more than doubling annually, approaching US$ 5 trillion in value by 2021. Aircraft Interiors International
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
While pollution's impact on the environment is well-known, fewer people might be aware that outdoor and indoor air pollution exposure causes an estimated 7 million premature deaths worldwide each year, and is associated with lung and heart disease, among other serious health issues. Yahoo News
While pollution's effect on the environment is well-known, fewer people might be aware that outdoor and indoor air pollution exposure causes an estimated 7 million premature deaths worldwide each year, and is associated with lung and heart disease, among other serious health issues. The Washington Post
Environmental air pollution, is a major risk to health and 99% of the population worldwide is living in places where recommendations for air quality are not met. medscape
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Different studies across the world demonstrate how air pollution, including household air pollution e.g. stove cooking, might negatively affect pregnant women, cause adverse birth outcomes, and become a factor provoking breast cancer, blood and heart diseases. UN Women
COVID-19 infections and climate hazards such as heatwaves, wildfires and poor air quality, combine to threaten human health worldwide, putting vulnerable populations at particular risk. UN News
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
The Philippines will endeavor to scale up near-term climate change actions through the mitigation of short-lived climate pollutants, including methane, to achieve multiple benefits for health, biodiversity, air quality and climate. Climate & Clean Air Coalition
The Australian Government set up IFAM as a temporary, targeted, emergency response to pandemic disruptions to keep global air links open in response to the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Austrade
A new low-cost ventilator design invented during COVID-19 could address the global shortage of ventilators for other respiratory diseases. Medical Express
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Poor air quality is one of the largest environmental risk factors for premature mortality, heightened by extreme air-quality events that are becoming annual events in parts of the world. MIT News | Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Environmental hazards that may affect workers safety and health include air pollution; heat risks and heat stress; rising sea levels; desertification and the loss of productive land; extreme weather events; and vector-borne / zoonotic diseases (which may result in future global health emergencies). International Labor Office
Spain's state weather agency, AEMET, warned of extremely unfavourable air quality levels. The Times
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
Government directives the world over are striving for nearly zero-energy buildings by the end of next year, and for net zero carbon buildings by 2030, meaning they will have to be 100% sustainable as far as heating, hot water, ventilation and cooling requirements are concerned. Renewable Energy World
Based on mobility, the portable ventilators segment is projected to exhibit the fastest growth in coming years with rising demand for portable ventilators from household & long-term care facilities and increasing demand from emergency medical service providers across the globe. Yahoo Finance
Questions
Can?
How can air quality become a new competitive business differentiator? Khaleej Times
How are indoor air pollution and climate action connected, and how can digitalisation help to improve things? www.climateledger.org
How can the world make progress against energy poverty and indoor air pollution? Our World In Data
How?
How large is the emerging Ventilation and Air Conditioningfor Indoor Agriculture Market in relation to its regional counterparts? Digital Journal
How much more will climate change impact our lives, whether through forest fires, extreme weather events, new zoonotic diseases, choking air or rising seas? editions
How can we integrate wildly different facility data for wastewater pumps, HVAC air quality and elevator destination dispatch systems into a unified digital twin when we still struggle to share basic drawing information between the two largest CAD vendors in the AEC space? Informed Infrastructure
Who?
Who will require a ventilator or a breathing machine? UCL Minds
What?
What is the Ventilation and Air Conditioningfor Indoor Agriculture Market size in different countries around the world? Digital Journal
What factors are affecting the strength of competition in the emerging Ventilation and Air Conditioningfor Indoor Agriculture Market? Digital Journal
What are the inhibiting factors and impact of COVID-19 shaping the Global Advanced Heating, Ventilation, & Air Conditioning Controls Market during the forecast period? Business Wire
Will?
Will we see a return to pre-COVID levels of jet-setting, with some employees clocking up tens of thousands of air miles each year? Taylor Vinters
How will air quality effects on human health, crops and ecosystems change in the future? MDPI
Quality Management will result in robust, effective air quality management arrangements? Llywodraeth cymru Welsh Government
Shaping Tomorrow Foresight

Shaping Tomorrow is a full-service foresight and collective intelligence company, offering expert panels, deep-dives, workshops and keynote speeches in addition to its horizon scanning services. Feel free to contact us at any time. You can ask for telephone training and to discuss your needs. We value your ideas, comments, encouragement and criticisms.