Longevity

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

28 May 2022
Introduction
This set of automatically curated slides provides an instant overview about possible futures to help inform present day strategy, and for you to act on opportunities and risks and mitigate threats in a timely manner. Learn more.

You can also

If you'd like to create your own set of slides like these, just search for your topic of interest and then click "Publish".
Contents
User Guide
Click on the blue source names to view the original evidence.
Click on the donut charts or use the selection options below to change views.
Click on words in the clouds to view more details about it.
Press "F" for full-screen
Press "Esc" for overview
Sources
RSS Feeds
Twitter Searches
Web Searches
Twitter Feeds
World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Hurricanes are among the most severe natural hazards on Earth, often inflicting extensive damage and loss of life when they strike coastal communities. Eos
While aging is unequivocally the major risk factor for age-related diseases, regulatory bodies around the world, such as the FDA or EMA, do not yet recognize geroscience-guided clinical outcomes as a path to regulatory approval. Fight Aging!
Globally, pensions and insurers hold an enormous amount of longevity risk from retirement obligations. Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Securities & Investment, Reinsurance Capital, Alternative Risk Transfer and Weather Risk Management site
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • There will be ample opportunities for open discussion and reflection on practical, legal and ethical challenges arising in social care in an age of global pandemic. Essex Autonomy Project
  • Boston's world-class stable of financial companies, combined with the growing awareness in the region of the opportunities afforded by the longevity economy, can help shape how we will live as we age. The Boston Globe
  • Can - berra faces a difficult trade-off: While it is already straining to crew its Collins-class legacy fleet, Virginia platforms could be advantageous in terms of longevity, especially as they are able to link up with UUVs. ETH Zurich
Weaknesses
  • In Ukraine itself, the United Nations has described extensive damage and loss of life in rural areas as well as key population centres, sparking fears that crops may not get planted. The Scotsman
  • Rebuilding damaged microbiomes could treat a variety of conditions, including infectious, autoimmune, and metabolic diseases. DairyReporter.com
  • A Mayo Clinic study finds that regenerative medicine could slow the clock on degenerative diseases that can cut short both life span and health span. Ipsos Mori
Opportunities
  • With the global population rapidly ageing it was crucial to get a better understanding of the potential of NAD + as an anti-ageing molecule via human trials. NutraIngredients-Asia.com
  • The accelerating growth of the space sector and complex global dynamics pose a risk to continued international collaboration, the longevity of governance frameworks, and, thus, industrial progress in the ecosystem. McKinsey & Company
  • Greece will scrap many remaining COVID-19-related protocols next week, making it the latest country to plan to revert to pre-pandemic life. Travel + Leisure
Threats
  • While stamp duty land tax has impressive longevity, economists on both sides of the political spectrum are in agreement it is a distorting tax that could be worsening Britain's housing crisis by stifling activity. The Telegraph
  • Despite fears of outliving savings, most Americans still want to live longer, a study on longevity and retirement shows. CNBC
  • Net-zero is already starting to be mandated (see article on recent UK policy) and energy companies will have to view decarbonized power sources as the key to their longevity, not a threat to it. Transport Times
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
bacteria, artificial intelligence, scientist
Emerging
ageing, anti-aging, consumer, discovery, longevity, market
Maturing
longevity, ageing, anti-aging, adult, care, market
Declining
ageing, economy, growth, life expectancy, longevity, Arctic
Sentiment
Past Year: More Negative
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Some of the most knowledgeable and resourceful voices globally in the longevity space are behind their mission to be a new approach that will empower people to make the appropriate lifestyle changes and take advantage of supplements and Rx therapies that will allow them to live longer and healthier. Forbes
MetLife, Inc., one of the largest life and annuities insurance groups in the world, has provided reinsurance to cover $2.4 billion of pension fund related longevity risk for European pension and life consolidator Phoenix Group. Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Securities & Investment, Reinsurance Capital, Alternative Risk Transfer and Weather Risk Management site
PEST
Political
  • Net-zero is already starting to be mandated (see article on recent UK policy) and energy companies will have to view decarbonized power sources as the key to their longevity, not a threat to it. Transport Times
  • There will be ample opportunities for open discussion and reflection on practical, legal and ethical challenges arising in social care in an age of global pandemic. Essex Autonomy Project
  • The Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapies pathway is a potential model for altering regulations to make them more amenable to longevity, but until the longevity caucus is formed there will not be much action to change things with the FDA. Foresight Institute
Economic
  • While stamp duty land tax has impressive longevity, economists on both sides of the political spectrum are in agreement it is a distorting tax that could be worsening Britain's housing crisis by stifling activity. The Telegraph
  • Longevity industry is estimated to be worth $26.5 trillion in 2022 and expected to reach $33 trillion in 2026. Zawya
  • Last month, the EU Strategy for Sustainable and Circular Textiles was proposed, setting out potential actions to achieve better longevity and sustainability of textile products by 2030. Resource Magazine
Social
  • In Ukraine itself, the United Nations has described extensive damage and loss of life in rural areas as well as key population centres, sparking fears that crops may not get planted. The Scotsman
  • After 'Glass Skin' and 'Dolphin Skin,' TikTok users are now all going crazy for 'Jello Skin,' a new anti-aging skincare trend straight out of Korea. Premium Beauty News
  • Rebuilding damaged microbiomes could treat a variety of conditions, including infectious, autoimmune, and metabolic diseases. DairyReporter.com
Technological
  • Uncultured genera and phyla could comprise 7.3×10^29 and 2.2×10^29 of microbial cells across earth's microbiomes, respectively. BioMed Central
  • Longevity Technology: With regard to space, space travel and science, there have been many meaningful studies conducted that indicate 3D bioprinting on the International Space Station (ISS) could improve drug screening and cancer research. Longevity.Technology
  • Orbital Prime in the first round will award $250,000 study contracts for technologies focused on satellite life extension, refueling, on-orbit inspection, orbit transfer, active debris removal, reuse and recycling of materials in space. SpaceNews
Financial Impact
An emerging industry in the MENA region, longevity is estimated to be worth $26.5 trillion in 2022 and is expected to reach $33 trillion in 2026 globally. Dubai Chronicle
An emerging industry in the MENA region, longevity is estimated to be worth $26.5 trillion in 2022 and expected to reach $33 trillion in 2026 globally. Zawya
Longevity industry is estimated to be worth $26.5 trillion in 2022 and expected to reach $33 trillion in 2026. Zawya
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
Hurricanes are among the most severe natural hazards on Earth, often inflicting extensive damage and loss of life when they strike coastal communities. Eos
The concept that international travel, or travel of any kind, is a risk factor for microbiome change is fairly well accepted now. CIDRAP
Land-grabbing, wars and slavery connect with the extensive spread of commercial monocultures as economic structures displacing and threatening much of the world's human biological and cultural life with extinction. Apple Podcasts
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
At a time when Russia is facing the consequences of its dangerous military gambling, people like Navalny are a real threat to the longevity of Putin's reign. Royal United Services Institute
A examine of greater than 218,000 adults from over 50 nations world wide means that consuming unprocessed meat usually can cut back the danger of early dying and may improve human longevity. nutritioncenter.extremefatloss.org
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
Forests and Land Use, committing to halt and reverse forest loss and land degradation by 2030, was signed by 141 countries, including China and Brazil - breathing new life into the commitments made under the New York Declaration on Forests in 2014. Forest500
The longevity phenomenon calls attention to the worldwide decline in the oldest old support ratio (defined as the number of people aged 50-74 divided by the number of people aged 85+), which is also expected to decline from 32.0 in 2005 to 12.5 in 2050. MDPI
New Trends - dive deep into new ideas that will affect global trends in aging in the next decade - digital revolution in health care, healthy aging and longevity research, etc. (eng)aging!
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Even if no formal physiological limit exists, reaching the frontiers of survival is no mean feat, and further gains in longevity might ultimately require remarkable advances in medical science, even if the ranks of the world's centenarians continue to swell. Nature Medicine
Viable longevity education with practical translation will thus ultimately improve health-care systems worldwide and decrease disease occurrence by training health-care providers to tackle the most common and strongest contributor of disease - unhealthy aging. Fight Aging!
If all that funding ultimately results in a real-life Asian elephant-mammoth hybrid, there will still be a lot of ecological and ethical questions with which to grapple. The Verge
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
Businesses need to recognise the overarching impact of ageing and rising longevity and embrace the opportunities it will bring in the coming years. Euromonitor
Novel and promising areas such as Longevity, Menopause, SexTech and Breast Feeding are anticipated to witness rapid growth in the coming years. meditechinsights.com
Questions
Can?
What can we do to avoid mass extinctions of life-forms on Earth and to reverse the threat of losing centuries of human progress? Cosmos HackAtom VI
How can the plant microbiome be used to improve crops? Gii Research
What if aging can be reversed? Reimagining the Future
How?
How large will the longevity biotechnology field be? Longevity Wiki
How is diversity guaranteed as a constitutive feature of humanity by the Longevity World Community? Open Lifespan
How should we think about ethics at the dawning of the robotic age? Insurge Intelligence
Who?
Who are the most prominent players in the global Anti-aging Drugs market? Trends
What?
What are the essential "Global" media ethics in the digital age? Iamcr
What will become of the March for Life if Roe is reversed? National Review
Even if anti-ageing techniques eventually proved successful, what would be the social and cultural consequences of literally pathologising old age? The Guardian
When?
One factor making Boston a potential hotbed when it comes to the explosion of the longevity economy? YOUAREUNLTD
Will?
Will anti-aging technology lead to overpopulation? Longevity Wiki
The very real ethical decisions that will be faced by AI-controlled cars: In an accident situation, whose life should be preserved - that of the passenger, another driver, or a pedestrian? Digital Trends
Will it someday be possible to find a cure for aging? Futurist Thomas Frey
Shaping Tomorrow Foresight

Shaping Tomorrow is a full-service foresight and collective intelligence company, offering expert panels, deep-dives, workshops and keynote speeches in addition to its horizon scanning services. Feel free to contact us at any time. You can ask for telephone training and to discuss your needs. We value your ideas, comments, encouragement and criticisms.