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Global Scans · Geopolitics · Weekly Summary


  • [New] Disinformation surrounding Ukraine's outreach efforts is likely to focus on fear, division, and false claims of foreign interference, while obscuring the underlying political realities of ethnic repression and regional discontent inside the Russian Federation. CRC
  • [New] If Taiwan, out of fear, opts for unconditional political concessions, it could fall into a situation similar to Hong Kong, where its democratic institutions are dismantled, society faces intensified political repression, capital flees, and talent drains away, leading to long-term economic decline. E-International Relations
  • [New] Deep domestic political polarization, fears of economic recession, inflationary pressures, weak public support for another distant war, and the possibility of insufficient allied cooperation could prevent the United States from effectively defending Taiwan at a critical moment. E-International Relations
  • [New] Political uncertainty now risks undermining one of Europe's biggest industrial transformations in decades. ""
  • [New] Political violence is taking center stage in Kenya's run-up to 2027's election, with the term goonism now widely used to describe gangs accused of disrupting rallies, intimidating rivals, and deepening fears over democratic backsliding. OkayAfrica
  • [New] Continued fighting in eastern Congo could make it impossible to hold the next presidential election on time in 2028, reviving fears of a prolonged political crisis in the conflict-hit country. OkayAfrica
  • [New] Beijing is providing political and possibly intelligence support to Tehran and could be seeking to renew flows of drone parts, air defence equipment, and missiles. Council on Foreign Relations
  • [New] Political and security developments in neighboring countries will shape the evolution of Ecuador's security crisis. Acled
  • [New] In different parts of Mexico, local politics operates under similar pressures: illegal economies, extortion, control of routes, capture of municipal police officers, shadowy financing, social fear, and authorities who govern with narrow margins. Mexico Solidarity Media
  • [New] Enhancing security within Libya will enable broader economic and political progress. SOAA
  • [New] Nato describes climate risk as a 'threat multiplier': physical changes to natural environments, like floods, droughts, temperature and geopolitical consequences of changing weather, increase economic and political instability in affected regions. OMFIF
  • [New] An Iranian media outlet criticized what it called a coordinated psychological campaign by anti-regime media to portray Iran as facing socio-economic collapse, political deadlock, and the threat of renewed protests as part of a broader US information operation against Iran. Critical Threats
  • [New] American democracy now faces its most crucial test because political parties will do anything necessary to gain power. The Fino Partners
  • [New] Geopolitical power in the mid-21st century will rest on three factors: autonomous military capability, the political cohesion required to act decisively, and the ability to demonstrate both frontier-technology leadership and economic strength. Tony Blair Institute
  • [New] Mainstream, populist, and/or reactionary candidates will fill that vacuum, leading U.S. workers deeper into the political abyss and creating more political apathy and dysfunction. Red Star
  • [New] While some may argue that less faith in Washington could spur Taipei to do more to take its defence into its own hands, it is confidence in the United States that gives Taiwan the political and strategic space to invest in its own defence. Council on Foreign Relations
  • [New] CTP-ISW continues to assess that Iran could decide to build a new, loyal cadre of ideological militias, over which Iran has strong control, that would supplement the political activity of Iranian-backed Iraqi actors. Critical Threats
  • [New] In recent years, NATO Allies have experienced increasing cyber attacks, information threats, political interference, acts of sabotage, violations of airspace by fighter jets and drones, and other hostile actions. Site name seo
  • [New] China anticipates potential political tension in the US, which could include the use of military force by the administration of President Donald Trump if election results are contested. RBC-Ukraine
  • [New] The PRC is likely expanding its people-to-people and economic exchanges with North Korea to pre-COVID - 19 levels to gain leverage that could restore its former political relationship with Pyongyang. American Enterprise Institute - AEI
  • [New] China established escalation dominance by showing it could absorb the export pain caused by US tariffs longer than President Trump could absorb the pain his own tariffs caused his political base. WITA
  • [New] The return of a UK political risk premium could push 10 Y gilt yields well above 5%. investing.com
  • [New] The combination of low transparency, high-profile political engagement, and pre-existing institutional fragility increases the risk of disinformation amplification, selective interpretation, and further polarization in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Antidisinfo

Last updated: 17 May 2026



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