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Global Scans · Geopolitics · Weekly Summary


  • [New] There is a widespread belief in Europe that Russian imperialism will not be limited to the political and military conquest of Ukraine. Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP)
  • [New] Rhodium Group noted that much of the manufacturing relocation out of China has favored emerging Asian markets first, creating deeper operating exposure in jurisdictions with structurally higher political risk than the original production base. Mordor Intelligence
  • [New] If Fulani fighters, and therefore communities, do not receive meaningful political concessions through negotiations or governance reforms, many could drift toward the Islamic State. International Centre for Counter-Terrorism - ICCT
  • [New] Political risks in Sub-Saharan Africa have risen modestly following the US-Iran conflict and the resulting increase in energy prices. Fitch Solutions
  • [New] Regionally, Kim Jong Un is courting Beijing while keeping Moscow central, and Japan-South Korea defence cooperation is advancing only as fast as South Korean domestic politics will allow. Fault Lines
  • [New] The Iran war is testing the assumptions behind US and Israeli strategy, with Tehran's capacity to withstand economic pressure and continue missile production raising political risks for both Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu. Pearls and Irritations
  • [New] As European governments look to spend more on defence to better deter security threats from Russia and others, a lack of public support for the spending trade-offs involved risks triggering a political backlash. Smart Thinking
  • [New] YouTube has won the global rights to broadcast the Oscars from 2029 and is pushing into late-night television; Twitch has become a venue for mainstream politics and the games industry. The Sydney Morning Herald
  • [New] A major challenge for local political reporters in 2026 is adapting to the new political reality where the old two or three-party system has now been replaced by a much more unpredictable and volatile climate, as the Green Party and Reform UK make massive gains. Vuelio -
  • [New] More significantly, One Nation's rise is already reshaping Australian conservative politics and threatening the long-standing consensus around immigration, free trade and technocratic governance. East Asia Forum
  • [New] The risks confronting contemporary investment flows are no longer merely exogenous economic shocks but are structurally embedded in intensifying global political competition. SpringerLink
  • [New] Over the past few years, Turkey has been busy preparing for what its leaders increasingly see as a coming post-American world by fending off threats to its periphery and building political and economic influence in its neighborhood. Brookings
  • [New] China's path to space power has left a trail of disappointed partner nations in its wake, producing lopsided outcomes in which partners assume financial and political risk while ceding control over infrastructure, data, and dual-use technologies. Rand Corporation
  • [New] Electoral competition centered on apparent threats to democracy and identity reduces the political payoff of rule-based engagement, accelerating a turn toward volatile, transactional forms of geoeconomic statecraft with immediate consequences for Brazil's strategic environment. CEBRI Revista
  • [New] International policymakers, particularly in Washington and Beijing, should recognize that Gulf politics could increasingly be defined by flexible bilateral alignments rather than with the GCC as a coordinated bloc. Middle East Council on Global Affairs
  • [New] The UAE's withdrawal poses several risks for both regional politics and global energy markets. Middle East Council on Global Affairs
  • [New] Direct threats to domestic communities and election integrity do not originate solely from Russia; they are increasingly driven by Western political and corporate actors. EU DisinfoLab
  • [New] As the U.S. shifts to a burden-sharing model with the Syrian government, IS will seek to exploit existing and emerging security gaps, while shifting its targets and tactics to fit new political and security realities. The Soufan Center
  • [New] Investment in immunization was a key theme among discussions, with several Member States warning that unless investments are sustained and political commitment remains high, the world risks entering a period of backsliding in immunization coverage and disease control. World Health Organization: WHO

Last updated: 05 July 2026



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