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Mobility Futures

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow 25 October 2018


The rewards of unlocking smart mobility could be vast: Innovative mobility services are projected to see a 5-fold increase in their share of travel spending by 2040 and generate an estimated $270 billion in revenue and up to $150 billion in profit for providers.
What is changing?

Summary

Analysis
Systems map: shows how changing mobility strategies are likely to change all forms of public and private transportation in the coming decades affecting everyone’s habits and lifestyles.

Radar chart: Top mobility topics identified by our AI are dramatically larger investments in better infrastructures, especially smart cities and public transport options all of which bode well for growth in the construction and manufacturing industries and result in improvements in public health, revenue collection, service and work opportunities.

Graph-It: By 2025, the transport revolution is expected to be in full swing in many parts of the world with much banking investment in automation and robots. We can expect to see the rise of new and powerful brands and witness the demise of many household names, swept away by the expected huge disruption from new mobility offers.

Sentiment: opinion towards improved mobility is very nett positive, globally, with only a few reservations mainly related to the possibility of increasing the rich/poor divide and possible delays in consumer demand as people maybe slower to give up their traditional forms of transport than most experts and pundits assume.

Pie Charts: Mobility is an emerging signal with much activity in the ‘evolving’ and ‘gaining traction’ categories that promises huge growth and new income streams going forward. This is likely to be a rest of the century global phenomenon with a tipping point where the public in industrialized countries accept the arrival of a new mobility infrastructure by an estimated tipping point of around 2040.

Countries: Top ten countries involved in improving mobility are Australia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Qatar, Austria, China, India, Malaysia, Nigeria And Saudi Arabia who are not only looking to improve mobility but to reduce pollution and traffic jams.
Cities: Cities leading the way include New York, Melbourne, Delhi, London, Brussels, Barcelona, Dubai, Vancouver, Helsinki and Detroit

Visuals
System map
The systems map shows how changing mobility strategies are likely to change all forms of public and private transportation in the coming decades affecting everyone’s habits and lifestyles.

Radar
Top mobility topics identified by our AI are dramatically larger investments in better infrastructures, especially smart cities and public transport options all of which bode well for growth in the construction and manufacturing industries and result in improvements in public health, revenue collection, service and work opportunities.

Graph-It
By 2025, the transport revolution is expected to be in full swing in many parts of the world with much banking investment in automation and robots. We can expect to see the rise of new and powerful brands and witness the demise of many household names, swept away by the expected huge disruption from new mobility offers.



Sentiment
Opinion towards improved mobility is very nett positive, globally, with only a few reservations mainly related to the possibility of increasing the rich/poor divide and possible delays in consumer demand as people maybe slower to give up their traditional forms of transport than most experts and pundits assume.

Pie Charts
Mobility is an emerging signal with much activity in the ‘evolving’ and ‘gaining traction’ categories that promises huge growth and new income streams going forward. This is likely to be a rest of the century global phenomenon with a tipping point where the public in industrialized countries accept the arrival of a new mobility infrastructure by an estimated tipping point of around 2040.

Geographies

Top ten countries involved in improving mobility are Australia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Qatar, Austria, China, India, Malaysia, Nigeria And Saudi Arabia who are not only looking to improve mobility but to reduce pollution and traffic jams.

Cities leading the way include New York, Melbourne, Delhi, London, Brussels, Barcelona, Dubai, Vancouver, Helsinki and Detroit

Evidence

Extracted forecasts found by Athena and linked back to the original articles, reports and PowerPoints (Insights) that she found can be found below using this search term:

Implications

urban private car journey

service

market

vehicle

car

mobility

rate

fleet

industry

mile

mobility framework

Question


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Sources
Athena used the sources below as the top ones to create this report and determined which embedded forecasts are included in this Trend Alert. She found 2,256 forecasts in seconds on 25th October 2018 to allow us to publish this report in less than ninety minutes. She can turn these into PowerPoint slides and Audio files in minutes too as you wish, or we can prepare a full customized and professionally written brief for you to order covering all these forecasts.

Athena
Athena does show duplicates to aid your understanding of themes as well as contradictory forecasts. She may also show near-duplicates. You can speed read past the duplicates and near-duplicates if you wish, though the latter may show additional information. You can use the contradictory, and likely uncertain forecasts she finds to imagine different scenarios. The future is unpredictable, but we can examine the possibilities and choose our preferable future from the choices she presents. 

Athena is apolitical. She will report forecasts from different viewpoints however distasteful that might be to our own values. Wearing rose-colored glasses is not her purpose; reporting potential futures is. So, we recommend you check her veracity before responding to her extracted forecasts.

Just like humans, Athena can be fallible. Do recognize that you and your associates are biased too. But whereas you tire, make mistakes and only recognize what interests you, she does not. She might miss or misinterpret as you do, but with far less frequency and she'll take uncomfortable truths and alternative ideas in her stride. But, please let us know if you feel her bias can be reduced. We want to do our best for you. And, as with any research, you should check and triangulate her findings for yourself.

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