Global Scans · Mexico · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Mexico's economy and status with the U.S. faces uncertain times as a result of Donald Trump's recent election as America's next president. The impacts of Donald Trump's pre-election threats are already being felt by Mexico's economy and may have unforeseen consequences for both nations.

• [New] Mexico is positioning for a potential second wave of nearshoring starting in 2027, contingent on the outcome of the USMCA and evolving tariff frameworks. Mexico Business
• [New] Hot-rolled coil prices are expected to rise in 2026 as the Mexican tariffs curb imported supply and typically seasonal patterns increase demand in the new year. FastMarkets
• [New] New instruments, including catastrophe bonds and insurance risk letters, especially in Mexico and Brazil, are expanding risk management options and attracting international capital. Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Sec
• [New] Electrification will continue to shape investment decisions, but Mexico's reality in 2026 will remain mixed-technology production. Mexico Business
• [New] Because there was a pause in new production in 2025 as manufacturers waited to see how tariffs and other economic shifts would pan out, employee availability in Mexico increased and will benefit manufacturers moving forward with production investments and opportunities in 2026. IVEMSA
• [New] Among Latin America's seven largest economies: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, and Peru, sensitivity to global disruptions is influenced by trade exposure, commodity prices, remittances, and global financial liquidity. Mexico Business
• [New] The Trump tariffs impact could significantly affect Mexican mineral exports whilst creating opportunities to replace Chinese suppliers in North American supply chains. Discovery Alert
• [New] With continued investments, technological advancements, and supportive policies, Mexico has the potential to become a global leader in the green hydrogen sector. A.Collegepressbox
• [New] Innovation Hubs: Expect to see more innovation hubs and tech clusters emerge across Mexico. Nimc
• [New] Mexico's strategic location and skilled workforce will continue to attract investment and talent. Nimc
• [New] Continued Growth: The tech sector in Mexico is expected to continue to grow at a rapid pace. Nimc
• [New] If the U.S. economy continues to grow and offer higher wages, it could attract more Mexican migrants. S.Univ-dschang
• [New] If the Mexican economy improves and creates more job opportunities, it could reduce the incentive for people to migrate. S.Univ-dschang
• [New] Major upcoming events, such as the 2026 FIFA World Cup co-hosted by Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, could offer a boost in cross-border traffic, but whether it will reverse declines or simply provide a short-term surge remains to be seen. travelpulseCA
• [New] Mexico is having its logistics moment in 2026 - one that could profoundly reshape global supply chains. GlobalTranz
• [New] 2.5 billion pounds of Mexican avocados are projected to be imported into the U.S. for the 2025-2026 season, with 280 million pounds projected for the Big Game alone, setting new records. Cision PR Newswire
• [New] Mexico's economy will grow 1.3% in 2026. Mexico News Daily
• [New] The gloomiest outlook came from Scotiabank Mexico, which is forecasting that the Mexican economy will grow just 0.6% in 2026. Mexico News Daily
• [New] The consensus forecast was that Mexico's headline inflation rate will be 3.7% at the end of 2027. Mexico News Daily
• [New] The median forecast of the institutions surveyed by Citi is that Mexico's annual headline inflation rate will be 4% at the end of 2026. Mexico News Daily
• [New] The Bank of Mexico's benchmark interest rate will be 6.5% at year's end. Mexico News Daily

Last updated: 20 January 2026