TikTok Shop will reach $23.41 billion in US retail ecommerce sales in 2026, surpassing Target's online sales of $21.94 billion.
eMarketer
TikTok Shop could be a top-3 global retailer by 2030.
Ringly.io
Momentum Works recently discussed whether TikTok Shop will build its own logistics in Southeast Asia.
China Digital Retail Report
TikTok Shop was the most widely planned social commerce channel: 21% of respondents said their company plans to use TikTok Shop as a sales channel during the 2026 holiday season, compared with just 6% who plan to use another social commerce platform.
Digiday
TikTok Shop is forecast to reach $23.41 billion in US ecommerce sales in 2026, after 48% year-over-year growth.
SeoProfy
51% of US social buyers are expected to shop online on TikTok in 2026.
SeoProfy
European merchants will soon be able to sell in multiple countries through a single TikTok Shop registration.
Ecommerce News
Social commerce through TikTok Shop and Instagram is projected to exceed $100 billion in total U.S. social commerce by the end of 2026, with jewelry among the top categories.
CompaniesHistory.com
TikTok Shop is projected to hit $23.41 billion in US ecommerce sales in 2026.
Ringly.io
46.67% of brands plan social commerce tests in 2026, with TikTok Shop leading among adopters.
Gigapay
Agentic shopping adoption will increase from 19% in 2025 to 46% by the end of 2026 - a massive shift in how much consumers trust machines to shop for them.
Airwallex
Last updated: 07 September 2026
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