[New] The UK will fall into recession towards the end of the year as energy costs soar.
The Council of Industry
[New] Global growth is likely to slow modestly to 3.2% for the full year, hurt by the energy shock but avoiding recession, and then recover to 3.4% in 2027 as oil and gas prices ease.
Morgan Stanley
[New] Coupled with the chance of a prolonged conflict with Iran, and it could spell recession.
CUSO Magazine
[New] Britain's economy could be dragged into recession by the end of 2026 by high energy prices and interest rate hikes.
The Guardian
[New] Surging interest rates and petrol prices have stripped more than $1bn a month from Australian household budgets as economists warn of recession risks.
The Guardian
S&P 500 reached fresh all-time highs on stronger-than-expected earnings growth and mega-cap technology companies generating billions in free cash flow, yet recession fears persist for 2027.
Yahoo Finance
A recession is not currently expected, but risks are increasing and remain closely tied to the stability of oil and gas supplies, including flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Caliber.az
A quantum computer cyberattack on the Federal Reserve's Fedwire Funds Service - its interbank payment system - could trigger a financial collapse and result in a six-month economic recession.
CNN
If inflation were to re-accelerate, perhaps due to surging oil prices or unexpected supply shocks, the Fed might be forced to maintain its restrictive stance, or even hike again, which would significantly tighten financial conditions and increase recession risk.
Kavout
Deep domestic political polarization, fears of economic recession, inflationary pressures, weak public support for another distant war, and the possibility of insufficient allied cooperation could prevent the United States from effectively defending Taiwan at a critical moment.
E-International Relations
Rainy day funds are thinning just as federal policy changes and diminished federal revenue sharing are driving up states' administrative costs, and as the U.S. contends with an elevated risk of recession.
Vertex, Inc.
Europe could tip into recession if the Iran war and Hormuz closure persist.
The Rio Times
A further escalation of the US-Israel war with Iran could trigger a worldwide recession.
The Guardian
Ifo president Clemens Fuest warns of a recession in Germany in 2026 if the U.S. tariffs escalate into a full-scale trade war.
AEQUIFIN
Prolonged disruptions could lead to a broader global slowdown, with recession risks increasing if conditions worsen.
STL.News
A global recession scenario could reduce non-compliance platform investment by 25% -35% in an 18-24 month window.
evolvancemarketresearch.com
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has rippled through global energy markets, threatening recession-level disruptions to economies from Germany to Japan to South Korea.
KBA13 INSIGHT
Last updated: 10 June 2026
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