[New] The biggest impact of the Iran War may not be that crude oil at $120 per barrel might tip the global economy into a recession; rather, it is more likely to drive even faster adoption of cheaper, greener energy sources.
The Big Picture
China's investment slump deepened: with fixed-asset investment down 5.7% in the first half against a 4.9% expected decline and real-estate investment down 18%, underlining the unresolved property drag on the world's second-largest economy.
Saward Dawson
Gen Z already plans to learn: one survey found that 90% of Gen Z knowledge workers intend to learn new skills in 2027 to recession-proof their roles.
hrdeck.com
The Fed's higher for longer stance on interest rates is unsustainable and could lead to a general credit deflation and a recession.
Sprott
Regardless of FRM rate movement in the continuing real estate recessionary period now ongoing in 2026, expect a long-term upward trend in mortgage rates to follow - though they will drop for the duration of a recession.
firsttuesday Journal
Economists at the Atlanta Fed are estimating that GDP will expand another 4% over the third quarter, indicating the US is far from tipping into a technical recession.
Business Insider
As the subsequent chart illustrates, US recession risk is currently not deemed high.
BTRM
A deterioration in Canadian housing, rising consumer delinquencies, weaker business borrowing, changing Bank of Canada policy or a domestic recession could affect several of them simultaneously.
investing.com
Britain's economy could be sent into a recession in 2027 if the crucial Strait of Hormuz remains closed into 2027.
The Independent
Last updated: 23 September 2026
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