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Global Scans · Recession · Weekly Summary


  • [New] China's investment slump deepened: with fixed-asset investment down 5.7% in the first half against a 4.9% expected decline and real-estate investment down 18%, underlining the unresolved property drag on the world's second-largest economy. Saward Dawson
  • [New] Gen Z already plans to learn: one survey found that 90% of Gen Z knowledge workers intend to learn new skills in 2027 to recession-proof their roles. hrdeck.com
  • The Fed's higher for longer stance on interest rates is unsustainable and could lead to a general credit deflation and a recession. Sprott
  • Regardless of FRM rate movement in the continuing real estate recessionary period now ongoing in 2026, expect a long-term upward trend in mortgage rates to follow - though they will drop for the duration of a recession. firsttuesday Journal
  • Economists at the Atlanta Fed are estimating that GDP will expand another 4% over the third quarter, indicating the US is far from tipping into a technical recession. Business Insider
  • As the subsequent chart illustrates, US recession risk is currently not deemed high. BTRM
  • A deterioration in Canadian housing, rising consumer delinquencies, weaker business borrowing, changing Bank of Canada policy or a domestic recession could affect several of them simultaneously. investing.com
  • Britain's economy could be sent into a recession in 2027 if the crucial Strait of Hormuz remains closed into 2027. The Independent
  • The IEA now projects a 1.6 million barrel-per-day demand slump for the year, while OPEC trimmed expected growth to 580,000 barrels per day, reflecting the impact of the ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions and stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations. Polymarket

Last updated: 16 September 2026



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